Without a significant improvement in the accuracy of seat polling, it would be foolish to predict any outcome
There has been a rush of polling in some of the seats where byelections will be held this Saturday. We have seen multiple companies doing polling, particularly in the seats of Braddon and Longman, and a lot of conclusions have been drawn from this polling. But history suggests these polls should be taken with more than a few grains of salt.
Polls have generally been very close in the Queensland seat of Longman and the Tasmanian seat of Braddon, which are the two byelections where Labor and the Coalition are in contention.