ReachTel poll finds incumbent party ahead 52%-48% on two-party-preferred basis

If a Victorian election was held last week, Labor would have won by a similar margin as when it was elected in 2014.

Seven weeks from the state election, a ReachTel poll of 1,239 voters conducted for Fairfax Media on 3 October gave Labor a 52%-48% lead on a two-party-preferred basis.

But the premier, Daniel Andrews, was only rated as a marginally better choice as leader than the opposition leader, Matthew Guy, at 51.3% to Guy’s 48.7%.

The poll found that younger voters aged 18 to 34 preferred Andrews – 57% of people in that group favoured him as premier. Meanwhile, 55.7% of voters aged 65 and older preferred Guy.

Labor was seen by 52.9% of voters as stronger than the Coalition on reducing cost-of-living pressures. But the Coalition rated more strongly on issues of law and order. Voters favoured the Coalition as better on this issue at 53.9% to Labor’s 46.1%.

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Read More Daniel Andrews and Labor retain narrow lead in Victorian election poll

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