YouGov pollster plays down talk of a blue wave sweeping away Republican majority: ‘Democrats have to win seven of the nine. I think the odds of that happening are not good’

Democrats aiming to take the US Senate in November need results “more shocking than Trump winning the 2016 election”, a leading polling expert said on Monday, playing down expectations of a blue wave.

Democrats lead Republicans nationwide by 54% to 46%, enough to take 225 seats and claim a narrow majority in the House, according to Gallup data released at the Hoover Institution, a conservative thinktank in Palo Alto, California.

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